Updated July 2026
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The last eight are confirmed and the quarter-finals run from Friday morning to Sunday afternoon NZT — a rare stretch where every tie falls in Kiwi daytime. France are the clear favourites; Argentina the most in-form side; Norway the story; Switzerland the dark horse. Below is the read for Kiwi punters, with NZT kick-offs, 1X2 odds and team news.
NZT schedule
| QF | Match | Date (NZT) | Venue | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF1 | France vs Morocco | Fri 10 Jul, 08:00 | Gillette Stadium, Boston | 1.56–1.59 | 3.80–3.95 | 6.00–6.90 |
| QF2 | Spain vs Belgium | Sat 11 Jul, 07:00 | SoFi Stadium, LA | 1.61 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| QF3 | Norway vs England | Sun 12 Jul, 09:00 | Hard Rock Stadium, Miami | 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.85–1.95 |
| QF4 | Argentina vs Switzerland | Sun 12 Jul, 13:00 | Arrowhead Stadium, KC | 1.71–1.80 | 3.50 | 5.25 |
Decimal odds as of 7–8 July ET. NZT = ET + 16h. All four kick-offs fall in NZ daytime. (FanDuel via FOX/CBS; bet365 via Squawka / DK Network.)
QF1 — France vs Morocco (Fri 10 Jul, 08:00 NZST)
A Qatar-2022 semi-final rematch — France won 2–0 in Doha (T.Hernández 5′, Kolo Muani 79′). Morocco return unbeaten, having beaten the Netherlands on penalties (R32) and co-hosts Canada 3–0 (R16). Deschamps’ side have won every match but were pushed to a narrow 1–0 (Mbappé pen) by Paraguay in the R16.
Form (last 5)
FRA P6 W6, 17 GF / 3 GA · MAR W3 D3, 11 GF / 5 GA
H2H
2 prior meetings: France 1W 1D, Morocco 0W
Key absences
FRA Tchouaméni (major doubt, adductor) · MAR Saibari OUT (hamstring), Riad doubt (knee)
Weather (Foxborough)
Mostly sunny, ~88°F, open pitch — heat index up to ~95°F (NWS, retrieved 9 Jul 2026 ET).
QF2 — Spain vs Belgium (Sat 11 Jul, 07:00 NZST)
Spain on a four-game clean-sheet run — De la Fuente’s side have not conceded since the Cape Verde 0–0. Belgium are unbeaten but have drawn three of five and lost Onana to an ACL in the USA win. Historical H2H is heavily one-sided: Spain 6W 1D from seven meetings (16–3 goals). Belgium have never beaten Spain.
::: at-a-glance
Form (last 5)
ESP W4 D1, 9 GF / 2 GA · BEL W3 D3, 17 GF / 5 GA
Defensive edge
Spain 4 clean sheets in a row, meanest defence left in the tournament
Key absences
ESP Nico Williams (doubt, adductor) · BEL Onana OUT (ACL), Debast late fitness test
Weather (LA)
SoFi has a fixed roof; weather not a factor. Patchy AM fog clearing to mostly sunny ~81°F.
QF3 — Norway vs England (Sun 12 Jul, 09:00 NZST)
Norway’s first World Cup quarter-final since 1998 — and their first-ever at this stage. Haaland’s brace downed Brazil 2–1 in the R16 (7 goals in 4 matches). England beat Mexico 3–2 in a ten-man thriller (Bellingham brace, Kane penalty) but are without Henderson (broken wrist), Quansah (suspended) and likely James (hamstring). Gary Neville: England favourites, but it will be “tough.”
::: at-a-glance
Form (last 5)
NOR unbeaten · ENG W4 of 5 (drew Ghana 0–0)
H2H
No prior major-tournament meeting — first WC knockout encounter
Goal threat
Haaland 7 in 4 · Kane 6, Bellingham 4
Weather (Miami)
Hard Rock canopy covers the stands only — open pitch. ~93°F, 30% chance of afternoon thunderstorms.
QF4 — Argentina vs Switzerland (Sun 12 Jul, 13:00 NZST)
Argentina on a five-game unbeaten run but conceding in each of the last three; the 3–2 comeback vs Egypt on 7 July was their wildest yet — 2–0 down, they struck three times in the last 11 minutes through Romero, a Messi equaliser and Enzo Fernández’s stoppage-time winner. Switzerland haven’t conceded in three of four (Kobel 16 saves). H2H: Argentina 5W 2D from seven meetings since 1966, including the 2014 R16 (Di María 118′).
::: at-a-glance
Form (last 5)
ARG unbeaten 5, 14 GF (conceded in last 3) · SUI unbeaten, only 3 conceded all tournament
H2H
Argentina 5W 2D · last WC meeting 2014 R16 (ARG 1–0 aet)
Cards watch
ARG Montiel one yellow from SF ban · SUI Xhaka / Zakaria / Muheim the same
Weather (KC)
Arrowhead open-air, chance of evening thunderstorms (~71–75°F), 40% precip.
The outright picture
France are clear favourites at 2.80 — that price has firmed since the group stage (was ~6.00). Argentina sit at 4.90 after their R16 comeback surge. Spain and England trail. The longest-priced live side is Switzerland at 34.0.
::: card-grid
France (2.80)
Clear favourites, unbeaten, 17 GF / 3 GA, Mbappé top scorer (7). Tchouaméni a doubt. (FanDuel via FOX, 8 Jul.)
Spain (4.70)
Clean-sheet machine, meanest defence left. Nico Williams a doubt but Yeremy Pino back fit.
Argentina (4.90)
In-form, 14 GF, but conceding in each of last 3. Messi Golden Boot leader (8). Montiel one card from SF ban.
England (5.60)
Beat Mexico 3–2 with 10 men (Bellingham brace, Kane pen). Henderson / Quansah / James all out or doubtful.
Norway (15.0)
First QF since 1998. Haaland 7 goals in 4. The story of the tournament.
Morocco (28.0)
Unbeaten. Saibari out, Riad a doubt. Long shot but the form is real.
A rare daytime stretch for Kiwi fans
Every QF kick-off lands between 07:00 and 13:00 NZST — no midnighters, no lunch-break scrambles, with QF4 the prime Sunday afternoon slot.
::: key-takeaways
- Friday 08:00 NZST: France vs Morocco — France short at 1.56, Morocco unbeaten and dangerous.
- Saturday 07:00 NZST: Spain vs Belgium — clean-sheet streak vs ACL-depleted Belgians.
- Sunday 09:00 NZST: Norway vs England — Haaland vs Kane, both live in the Golden Boot race.
- Sunday 13:00 NZST: Argentina vs Switzerland — Argentina 1.71–1.80 favourite, Messi in form.
Where to bet (NZ): compare the QF 1X2 and outright markets in NZD at Boomerang Bet, ZotaBet or BetiBet — decimal odds, 18+.
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